The risk in Oil Sector is as common as other industries facing but it has some more grave concerns to deal with; General risks apply to every stock, such as management risk, but there are also more concentrated risks that affect that specific industry. In this article, we'll look at the biggest risks that oil and gas companies face. We teach but we don’t adopt about risk; Human beings, who are almost unique in having the ability to learn from the experience of others, are also remarkable for their apparent disinclination to do so.
Politicians don’t take risk with business; Not taking risks one doesn't understand is often the best form of risk management that is best with political management; The primary way that politics can affect oil is in the regulatory sense, but it's not necessarily the only way. Typically, an oil and gas company is covered by a range of regulations that limit where, when and how extraction is done. This interpretation of laws and regulations can also differ from state to state. That said, political risk generally increases when oil and gas companies are working on deposits abroad.
Factually, India Government under Prime Minister HE Shri Narendra Modi, we see less complications in understanding policies related to oil and gas exploration, and production and marketing; that doesn’t mean we are free to do anything; But one thing is sure, he has eaten up the job of power brokers; Business people need to understand the psychology of risk more than the mathematics of risk;
Stability in Government is must to minimize the risk; the biggest threat to oil and gas industry is Join Venture Governments; India will show the strength if same Government continues for three terms minimum; Oil and gas companies tend to prefer countries with stable political systems and a history of granting and enforcing long-term leases and hence needs a stable Government. However, some companies simply go where the oil and gas is, even if a particular country doesn't quite match their preferences. Numerous issues may arise from this, including sudden nationalization and/or shifting political winds that change the regulatory environment. Depending on what country the oil is being extracted from, the deal a company starts with is not always the deal it ends up with, as the government may change its mind after the capital is invested, in order to take more profit for itself.
But I feel dictatorship Governments are more viable than any elected Government in Oil and gas sector, as policy is designed to suit the dictator and his galaxy of friends; And they have done well; Political risk can be obvious, such as developing in countries with an unstable dictatorship and a history of sudden nationalization - or more subtle - as found in nations that adjust foreign ownership rules to guarantee that domestic corporations gain an interest. An important approach that a company takes in mitigating this risk is careful analysis and building sustainable relationships with its international oil and gas partners, if it hopes to remain in there for the long run.
Second most risky environment is geology of the location of OIL; I mean Geological risk also effects oil & gas job; Many of the easy-to-get oil and gas is already tapped out, or in the process of being tapped out and it has always been done by favoritism of the Government. Exploration has moved on to areas that involve drilling in less friendly environments - like on a platform in the middle of an undulating ocean. There is a wide variety of unconventional oil and gas extraction techniques that have helped squeeze out resources in areas where it would have otherwise been impossible.
When the map and the territory don’t agree, always believe the territory. Geological risk refers to both the difficulty of extraction, Supply and the possibility that the accessible reserves in any deposit will be smaller than estimated. Oil and gas geologists work hard to minimize geological risk by testing frequently, so it is rare that estimates are way off. In fact, they use the terms "proven," "probable" and "possible" before reserve estimates, to express their level of confidence in the findings. Still the game inside the earth has been played by horizontal drilling; Squeezing others oil crossing the border;
Third most dangerous thing is Capital intensive and less security in pricing formations; BUT HARDLY THEY LOSS ANY MONEY; CAPEX and OPEX can be achieved at any point of time, but they suffer from – “LOSS IN PROFIT MARGIN”. Pricing is a false cry with respect to investment and oil reserve intimated; Beyond the geological risk, the price of oil and gas is the primary factor in deciding whether a reserve is economically feasible. Basically, the higher the geological barriers to easy extraction, the more price risk a given project faces. This is because unconventional extraction usually costs more than a vertical drill down to a deposit. This doesn't mean that oil and gas companies automatically mothball a project that becomes unprofitable due to a price dip. Often, these projects can't be quickly shut down and then restarted. Instead, O&G companies attempt to forecast the likely prices over the term of the project in order to decide whether to begin. Once a project has begun, price risk is a constant companion.
Oil & Gas Experts are like artist; An artist that makes art merely to meet a demand is a slave to what his patrons wants to see, or, hear. The theory of supply demand has very less implications on Oil & Gas industry; Supply and demand shocks are a very real risk for oil and gas companies is a paper tantrum. Yes it is true, as mentioned, operations take a lot of capital and time to get going, and they are not easy to suspend when prices go south, or ramp up when they go north. The uneven nature of production is part of what makes the price of oil and gas so volatile. Other economic factors also play into this, as financial crises and macroeconomic factors can dry up capital or otherwise affect the industry independently of the usual price risks. It may have risk from some Black Colored Oil is mixed in supply with Black supply of Oil; Like ISIS is doing in SYRIA and IRAQ;
All of these preceding risks feed into the biggest of them all - operational costs. The more onerous the regulation and the more difficult the drill, the more expensive a project becomes. Couple this with uncertain prices due to worldwide production beyond any one company's control, and you have some real cost concerns. This is not the end, however, as many oil and gas companies struggle to find and retain the qualified workers that they need during boom times, so payroll can quickly rise to add another cost to the overall picture. These costs, in turn, have made oil and gas a very capital-intensive industry, with fewer and fewer players all the time.
Never take both hands off the pump. As an entrepreneur, you need to be on constant lookout for opportunity, and that will involve risk. But you minimize those risks by keeping one hand on the pump that is producing for you. Oil and gas investing isn't going anywhere. Despite the risks, there is still a very real demand for energy, and oil and gas fills part of that demand. Investors can still find rewards in oil and gas, but it helps to know the potential risks that go along with those potential rewards.
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